Stocks
Breaking: Fed Holds Rates, But Signals Increased Hawkishness 속보: 美 연준, 금리 동결 속 매파적 신호 강화
The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) held its benchmark interest rate steady, but the recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting saw three members dissent by voting for a rate hike, sending a strong hawkish signal to the market. This stands in stark contrast to the unanimous decision to hold rates in June, suggesting a strengthening hawkish stance within the Fed. Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed his firm commitment to achieving the 2% inflation target during a press conference, emphasizing that this pause should not be viewed as a simple 'pause.'
This hawkish hold immediately exerted downward pressure on the New York stock market. The S&P 500, which tracks large-cap stocks, fell 1.52% to 7316.15. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite closed down 1.74% at 20,442.94. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also plummeted 2.19% to 51,594. Concerns over potential rate hikes and the prolonged period of high interest rates increased the discount rate for future earnings, particularly burdening growth and tech stocks. Furthermore, the yield on the U.S. 30-year Treasury bond surpassed 5.2% intraday, reaching its highest level since 2007, interpreted as the bond market also sending a cautionary message about the Fed's commitment to tightening.
The cryptocurrency market is also facing downward pressure influenced by the Fed's hawkish stance. Interest rate uncertainty and a reinforced tightening stance lead to reduced liquidity, tending to dampen investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies, which are classified as risk assets. Bitcoin continued its weak performance after the Fed's hawkish remarks, contributing to a broader downturn in the overall cryptocurrency market. The increasing hawkish voices within the Fed thus elevate uncertainty across both the stock and cryptocurrency markets, demanding a cautious approach from investors.
Sources: opinionnews.co.kr, ziksir.com, g-enews.com, yonhapnewstv.co.kr미국 연방준비제도(Fed)가 기준금리를 동결했으나, 이번 연방공개시장위원회(FOMC) 회의에서 3명의 위원이 금리 인상을 주장하며 반대표를 던져 시장에 강한 매파적 신호를 보냈습니다. 이는 지난 6월 만장일치 동결과는 대조적인 결과로, 연준 내부의 긴축 기조가 강화되고 있음을 시사합니다. 케빈 워시 연준 의장은 기자회견에서 2% 물가 목표 달성에 대한 확고한 의지를 재확인하며, 이번 동결을 단순한 '일시 정지'로 볼 수 없다고 강조했습니다.
이러한 매파적 동결은 뉴욕 증시에 즉각적인 하방 압력으로 작용했습니다. 대형주 중심의 S&P500 지수는 1.52% 하락한 7316.15를 기록했고, 기술주 중심의 나스닥종합지수는 1.74% 내린 2만4442.94에 마감했습니다. 다우존스30산업평균지수 역시 2.19% 급락한 5만1594를 기록했습니다. 금리 인상 가능성 및 고금리 장기화 우려가 커지면서 미래 이익에 대한 할인율이 높아져 성장주와 기술주에 특히 부담을 주었습니다. 또한, 미국 30년물 국채 금리가 장중 5.2%를 돌파하며 2007년 이후 최고 수준으로 치솟아, 채권 시장 역시 연준의 긴축 의지에 대한 경고 메시지를 보낸 것으로 해석됩니다.
암호화폐 시장 또한 연준의 매파적 기조에 영향을 받아 하락 압력을 받고 있습니다. 금리 불확실성과 강화된 긴축 기조는 유동성 축소로 이어져 위험자산으로 분류되는 암호화폐에 대한 투자 심리를 위축시키는 경향이 있습니다. 비트코인은 연준의 매파적 발언 이후 약세를 이어갔으며, 이는 전반적인 암호화폐 시장의 하락세로 이어졌습니다. 이처럼 연준 내 매파적 목소리 증가는 증시와 암호화폐 시장 전반에 걸쳐 불확실성을 높이며 투자자들의 신중한 접근을 요구하고 있습니다.
출처: opinionnews.co.kr, ziksir.com, g-enews.com, yonhapnewstv.co.kr
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Looking at the FOMC minutes, there were apparently 3 people in favor of a rate hike after all. It's quite different from the "rate hike pause!" atmosphere from just before. It's quite different. As Chairman Powell said, I guess we still can't relax.FOMCの議事録、結局利上げ派が3人もいたのか。ちょいと前の「利上げ停止！」みたいな空気とはまた違うね。まあまあ違うね。やっぱりパウエル議長が言ってた通り、まだ安心はできないってことなのかな。
It was a bit surprising that there were 3 people in favor of a rate hike. Well, as Chairman Powell said, the fight against inflation is probably still ongoing. I feel like the rise in long-term US Treasury yields also reflects that view.利上げ派が3人もいたのか、というのは少し驚きだったね。まあ、パウエル議長が言ってたように、まだインフレとの戦いは続いているということなんだろう。米国債の長期金利が上がっているのも、そういう見方を示している気がする。
Minutes, so 3 people were in favor in the end? Well, Chairman Powell did say inflation is still sticky. The rise in long-term US Treasury yields also seems to reflect that view.議事録、結局賛成派が3人もいたのか。まあ、パウエル議長も言ってたけど、インフレはまだしつこいからね。米国債の長期金利が上がってるのも、そういう見方を示してる気がするな。
The fact that there were 3 people in favor of raising interest rates is certainly a bit concerning. However, as Chairman Powell also said, inflation is probably still persistent. I think the rise in long-term US Treasury yields also shows that perspective.利上げ派が3人もいたっていうのは、確かにちょっと気になりますね。でも、パウエル議長も言ってたように、まだインフレはしつこいんでしょうね。米国債の長期金利が上がってるのも、そういう見方を示してるんだと思います。