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Four rivals, $100 million each, same terms — nobody here is picking a company

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The Commerce Department signed final agreements with Rigetti, D-Wave, Quantinuum and PsiQuantum today. Each award is $100 million on the same terms, and as a condition the government takes a minority, non-controlling stake in each company. The four are competitors. They aren't even building the same kind of machine — the approaches run from superconducting circuits to trapped ions to photonics. All four were on a list published in May, when Commerce split about $2 billion among a group of quantum companies in exchange for equity in each. IBM took the largest share. The department didn't pick an approach. It bought all of them. Retail holds these names the same way. In late August D-Wave said its chief financial officer was retiring, and took care to note the exit involved no disagreement over accounting or operations. D-Wave fell. Rigetti and IonQ fell with it, neither having announced anything. One company's finance chief leaving his job repriced its competitors. That is what it looks like when the unit being traded is the sector. None of these firms sells enough for revenue to settle any argument, so there is no per-company number to hold onto, and what people own is the category. The category keeps taking in new members. Quantinuum was on the May list and went public weeks later. Pasqal arrived through a shell company at the end of August and was in the rotation on arrival. Public money going onto private balance sheets in exchange for stock is fairly new here, and it isn't only happening in quantum. Where you are, does a whole theme trade as one block like this — and when none of the companies has revenue worth arguing about, what do people look at instead?
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